I will be referring to two specific Baseball Savant searches. Is Indias throw speed more of a product of where hes playing, and the type of throws he needs to make? The likelihood, in percent, that an outfielder will be #2 Arraez arm strength is even more surprising, My take is that they should work with Arraez more at 3B, so we have Kiriloff at 1B, Polanco at 2B & Arraez at 3B for RHPs. Statcast Arm Strength Leaderboard Baseball Savant. For example, in 2019, Nolan Arenado was +21 OAA as a third baseman (the only position he played), but that breaks down into +17 at third base and +4 at shortstop. How quickly, in seconds, a catcher can get the ball out window.". Aquinos max throw this year was 101.6 mph. The transition to Hawk-Eye in 2020 has allowed the measurement of arm strength. You can change the minimum number of throws if youre mainly interested in finding who has the highest peak arm strength, regardless of how many total throws theyve made. Yeah I think this confirms that Story is not playing SS again. Started Saturday at 03:30 PM, By Tommy Pham is pretty fast! Celestino topped the arm strength leaderboard with a 92.4 mph average on over 300 throws. Of all the players in the league with at least 100 throws in 2022, he ranks first on the arm strength leaderboard with an average throw of 98.1 mph. 8 in the top 100 is some pretty high praise. Your previous content has been restored. Statcast should be used much more to evalute defensive skills & increase more the value of defensive WAR. Acuas overall play in the outfield this season wasnt as good as what we saw pre-injury, but these arm strength numbers show that at least one tool is still there. The pro step is a simple fundamental move where you take your throwing-side leg and swing it right behind your plant foot to properly align yourself toward the balls destination. For baseball fans, there continue to be new forms of data to help build discussions around various topics. MLB.com's Mike Petriello announced So much goes into having the appropriate footwork to direct yourself towards a base in order to make an accurate, strong throw, and some do it better than others. Vaughn Grissom (77.2 mph) and Ozzie Albies (75.2 mph) are both well below the league average of 81.0 mph for second baseman. I really like statcast (to hep measure range & arm strength) in which it help support our eye test. Given that there is no rulebook definition of "a throw where the player is trying hard," and many non-competitive lobs are captured, we have elected to take the average of the top portion of a player's throws. Of note is this positional adjustment chart: This means that if a RF scores at 90, then you'd expect him to score at 83 while playing 2B. 4. Statcast defines a 'hard-hit ball' as one hit with an Out of 50 shortstops who made at least 100 throws, Swanson . Maybe they floated Barnhart on waivers like they did Miley a year later; but, nobody bit? Austin Rileys 83.7 mph average comes in slightly below average for third baseman. Given that there is no rulebook definition of "a throw where the player is trying hard," and many non-competitive lobs are captured, we have elected to take the average of the top portion of a player's throws. Run it back with Tucker or Casali as back up catcher and Duvall as a righty bat in the OF? The time it takes for a fielder to step to a ball or move their glove across their body can be the difference between a runner being called safe or out, while a strong and accurate throw gives their teammates the best chance to make a play. plays where Fraley would play when Fraley is out and a different OF position when Fraley is in; but, unless they come up with 2 clearly everyday better OF players, Fairchild should be an everyday guy. For his career, -1 OAA, which makes him an average fielder. Hans Birkleberry Interesting. 1 overall). Where its at, I dont know. 2023 is about sorting. With Siani and Hopkins at AAA, plus the ability to transition an infielder to the OF if needed, I think this would be a good way to start the year. But McKenna is no slouch with the glove so if McKenna can hit well enough (pretty damn good against LHP last year) then itd likely make up for any loss in the fielding/base running categories. 14 overall). I really cant blame anyone who doesnt have the same feeling. of his glove and to the base on a stolen base or pickoff This is a combination of lack of awareness and trickery leading to a perfect chance for Rodrguez to nab Gurriel on a force out. Why The Twins Are Betting On Chris Paddack (PREVIEW). Byron Buxton continues to be one of baseball's best defenders Since the demands of each position grouping are different, the averages and qualifiers are different as well. I will be referring to two specific Baseball Savant searches. Like many defensive statistics, the overall may not be telling us the entire story and we may need more context here as well as a larger sample size of throws. According to the Statcast arm strength leaderboard among shortstops, Swanson comes 48th out of 50 while Turner is 26th. Vaughn Grissom (77.2 mph) and Ozzie Albies (75.2 mph) are both well below the league average of 81.0 mph for second baseman. Orlando Arcia averaged 83.2 mph which is above average for second baseman who tend to have shorter throws. Its not in this view, but Harris also finishes with a nice little spin after releasing, also known as a janitor throw. According to ESPN he had 1.7 war for Seattle in 2021 in half a season which was almost the exact same number of at-bats he had this year. There is definitely a LARGE gap between that group and Aquino and we know who has a history of throwing runners out. According to the Statcast arm strength leaderboard among shortstops, Swanson comes 48th out of 50 while Turner is 26th. Some of the best opportunities for a guy to make a play with his arm come after a misread, when he has overestimated his chances of making a play with his glove. What QB has the weakest arm? It is not like Fairchild should be such a huge surprise. That isnt a problem for Eaton. Its not going to happen. I think 50 SB are on the table. And he still makes brutal mistakes (mis-directed throws, and some of the worst base-running I've ever seen from a fast runner in my decades of watching baseball). But a player still has to do what's best for the team, and what's best for the team is to have its least-skilled fielder serving as DH. . The average outfield throw from Ozuna was 79.2 mph and his max was 83.6 which ranks 154th out of 155 qualified players. MLB Advanced Media, LP. Replying to . I held my hand up for the Reds fans and said Here, here!. I wonder if his arm would play up at 3B with the different throws. 15 throws) with an average arm strength of 88.4 mph on max-effort throws -- a.k.a. I believe Arraez is underrated at 2B and that is where he will end up. This means that if a RF scores at 90, then you'd expect him to score at 83 while playing 2B. Yep BK. His 64th percentile sprint speed is decently above average, yet, Judge makes him look slow as molasses as he waltzed to this ball in the corner. Crawford is a bit higher at 19 while Correa is at #6. as Active Spin. Jump is a Statcast metric that shows which players have For baseball fans, there continue to be new forms of data to help build discussions around various topics. For example, Fraley has a .06 WAR while Fairchild has a .7 in 148 fewer plate appearances. Melissa Berman It is important to point out that having a stronger arm doesnt actually mean you are guaranteed good results. The next highest infielder is Sergio Alcantara, who is 24th. In my view, the Reds need to move away from one dimensional platoon players. . What is interesting is that its Nick Senzel with the second best max throw, but his average throw is near the bottom and well below-average. Unfortunately, hitting is a pretty important skill in baseball and absolutely critical as a corner OF. Wow, I had the impression that Correa had the best arm strength. The likelihood that coaching is the problem is remote. but I feel it was skewed by a lot of blowouts and the new trend of letting position players pitch even when the game gets slightly out of hand( i hate this trend). A new Statcast thing! Even with his strong defense, Correa's arm strength has dropped in each of the last three seasons. Barrero has long been known for his arm, so its no surprise that he shows up atop the Reds leaderboard here. Odds & lines subject to change. It is no surprise that Pirates rookie Oneil Cruz (93.9 mph) tops the shortstop leaderboard by a wide margin. That isnt because of his arm strength, but his good first step, range and overall athletic ability. Lies, dmd lies, and statistics. The infield generally doesnt look great either for the most part. Arraez is not fun to watch in the field. As a backstop, youre taught to transfer the ball as deep into your body and as close to your ear as possible when preparing to throw a runner out. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. @Jim, youve been making the case for Fairchild for a while now and Im beginning to be a believer. If not maybe thats the reason he was moved to 2B. Pasted as rich text. exit velocity of 95 mph or higher. His writing can be found exclusively at Twins Daily and his voice can be heard on radio stations throughout the Upper Midwest. Just because you can throw hard doesn't mean you know where to throw it or that you can throw it accurately. Next season, it seems likely for Arraez to be moved around to multiple defensive positions, but his arm is better served away from first base. On 10/17/2022 at 12:29 AM, Andrew Bryz-Gornia said: On 10/16/2022 at 2:00 PM, Andrew Bryz-Gornia said: 4 Surprising Observations from Minnesota's Arm Strength Leaderboard. Aaron Judge ranks 25th (92.3 mph) on the arm strength leaderboard. xwOBA is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle Can the team benefit from a trade of one of these two players? Brock Beauchamp His elite arm should start next season at AAA until the rest of his game is ready. All Rights Reserved. +1 CF, LF. Sadly, that could be said of far too many on this years roster. Yes, many people would like Arraez as a DH. This is an example of where Falvey proves he is capable (or not). Winning more games with better outfield wall padding. With that advantage eliminated next year, it is interesting how recent games like the near perfect small ball and defensive play from underdogs San Diego and the Phillies have been the story thus far in the playoffs. Cd key product storyline. Ben encourages listeners to read Mike Petriello's article (linked below) to understand how the stats are calculated. Its extremely difficult to make a play on a short hop while trying to get a tag down. Baseball Savant has recently added a new category of stat tracking called the Arm Strength Leaderboard. able to make a catch on an individual batted ball. In high school, his arm strength was good enough to be one of his team's starting pitchers. Arraez has a below average arm. Luis Arraez might be underserved at first base It is however interesting to take a look at the leaderboards to see where guys pop up. I really believe we are headed into a major dead ball era in baseball and the league knows it. Anderson also ranked in the 65th percentile in barrel rate and in the 61st percentile in terms of hard-hit rate. With the help of the Statcast Arm Strength leaderboard, Im going to show you exactly what sets those players apart from the rest of the pack. Out of 50 shortstops who made at least 100 throws, Swanson comes in at No. The art of getting hits has gone down so much overall in baseball it is sickening. No clue how he came up with this. Statcast calculates this number by. I believe they had a similar problem in the late 60s and they lowered the mound. How far, in feet, a runner is ranging off the bag at the How much spin, in revolutions per minute, a pitch was Get all the latest free agent and trade rumors with the Twins Daily rumor tracker! Still have a gut feeling. Harris comes in eighth among centerfielders at 93.2 mph with a max of 100.0 mph. Even an elementary school-aged me saw that his arm was just different than just about anyone else I was watching on tv at the time. How far off the mound, in feet, a pitcher releases the Hopefully this can be contained and Celestino can allow his physical talents to achieve success. Celestino can't seem to control his thoughts. +7 2B. He was at 100+ OPS+ from both sides of the plate. I can't explain it for you, but for me, they were underwhelming because it seemed like the strongest arms were throwing much harder than they really were. A range-based metric of skill that shows how many outs a "feet per second in a player's fastest one-second He got a shot as the Reds starter in the middle of the season, and he hit .143 with Cincinnati. In that term, it is kind of like a pitcher that can throw 100 mph, with no command. I think his 2021 was a peak year so I dont think hell match that again. How hard, in miles per hour, a fielder throws the ball. How much spin, in revolutions per minute, a pitch was This sort of metric is a decent tool, but you need to be realistic about its limitations. Little did Lourdes Gurriel Jr. know, this ball wasnt even close to being caught on a fly. * Click on a player to see more information about their specific events including videos of plays if available. Statcast Arm Strength Leaderboard. So they used the average of a given percentage of their "top throws" (the percentage varies by position) to find the numbers they are using. I would be ok with him hitting .250 with 20+ home runs. Started 18 hours ago, By According to those stats you mentioned AA must be super human. Arraez's arm may be strong, and maybe the arm is under-served at 1B, but a) his fielding at 3B was a bit ragged, and b) he has a long history of leg issues; issues probably minimized this year in part by playing a position requiring less mobility. Copyright RedlegNation.com. Reactions: macbdog. This could have a lot to do with Norby being a second round pick I suppose. Statcast attempt. 443. He is either un-coachable, or badly coached (I honestly don't know which, because he isn't the only bad base runner). the ERA scale, A measurement of a player's top running speed, expressed O'Neil Cruz is the only big league infielder that average over 90mph. xERA is a simple 1:1 translation of xwOBA, converted to Statcast has a new leaderboard and Atlanta's outfield combo of Ronald Acua Jr. and Michael Harris grade out well. ADD: Maybe you were just looking at 2B/SS/3B, where Story is 151 and Bogaerts is 85 out of 158. Correa's excellent. MLB.coms Mike Petriello announced the inclusion of arm strength leaderboards for all positions at Baseball Savant at the end of September. time of a pitcher's first movement or pitch release. Each of the throws I highlighted today has something in common in addition to their impressive speeds: they all ended up right over the bag or plate. by Handedness, Lets Admire Some of the Strongest Arms in Baseball, Dodgers Win Game 1, Retain Big Brother Status. Senzel: Arm: 63%, Sprint Speed: 85%. Epstein said he hopes to someday become a part of an ownership group in MLB. Ill try to allay your fear AA will turn 29 during the first month of next season. We may never know. Lets start at shortstop where Dansby Swanson in my mind an good defender. Knowing that Carlos Correa's top 5% of 2022 throws averaged 88.0 MPH just doesn't feel impressive, likely because we're used to pitchers hitting 95+ MPH with ease nowadays. The transition to Hawk-Eye in 2020 has allowed the measurement of arm strength. Its a pretty neat little tool, so if youre interested, hit the link above and check it out. Thats fine. The feats of Roberto Clemente immediately jump to mind. I would suspect that his number would go up had he spent more time at shortstop or third base. Im not disregarding that with the lack of power/offense on this team. And unlike Aquino and Eaton, this play came on a standard outfield groundball. At Baseball Savant. A table displaying leaders in Statcast metrics such as Sweet Spot % (SwSp%), Barrels, Exit Velocity (EV), Batted Ball Distance (DST), Projected Home Run Distance (HR-DST), Launch Angle (LA) and Batted Ball Events (BBE) . Out of 50 shortstops who made at least 100 throws, Swanson comes in at No. I do wonder if he could be traded for something wonderful. Of note is this positional adjustment chart: 0 RF. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. Statcast refers to the spin that contributes to movement I'm conflicted as to where he can play or how Luis returns the most value to the Twins. Still it is an interesting look at a new metric that I am sure will improve over time. That part reminded me of a catcher. How fast, in miles per hour, a ball was hit by a batter. Go to Source That isnt because of his arm strength, but his good first step, range and overall athletic ability. 16 hours ago. Because pitching is inherently proactive in a way hitting can never be. Statcast has a new leaderboard and Atlantas outfield combo of Ronald Acua Jr. and Michael Harris grade out well. Cincinnatis infielders had one player really stand out with his arm Jose Barrero. Really I dont remember seeing it when they play LF. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Last season, Carlos Correa compiled elite defensive numbers. For the worst I might add in both instances, Just the other night Will Smith for LA lines one to right-center with 2 outs in the 9th, but the CFer was shifted that way and was waiting on it. His awareness and feel around the short porch in Yankee Stadium allows him to fool runners into thinking they have a shot at second base. MLB trade rumors has a long piece on the Reds off-season and a good read. Multiple reports the Reds like a backup vet catcher like Romine( or casali/tucker) to mentor the young arms. as Active Spin. Then again given Fairchilds past history with the Reds, maybe he is the guy who gets flipped for a reliever because somebody else actually wants him . Idk? Heres my complete guess of a batting line prediction.270/.330/.470, https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/arm-strength?year=2022&minThrows=100&pos=arm_3b&team=&sortColumn=max_arm_strength&sortDirection=desc. To be fair to Arraez, though, his velo from 3B was 84.4 last year (didn't have data this year). Call 1-800-GAMBLER. The league average for center fielders has been 88.8 mph over the last three seasons. WRT Barrero, sending him to AAA would be the obvious move, except theres a good chance the Reds will want both ELDC and McLain at AAA. His max throw came in at 101.6 MPH, which ranked 6th among outfielders with at least 50 throws (we cant go any lower than this). Luke Weaver signs with the Cincinnati Reds for 2023. I do like the idea of Arraez at third base. He topped out at 102.3, which was the highest velocity throw by a Twins defender this season. Anything below 88mph is considered 0. After Aristides Aquino jumped up on the wall to save a few runs, the ball ricocheted off and forced him to scurry after it. To me, a high throwing velocity is just as impressive as a high exit velocity. Statcast pointed out that outfielders naturally have stronger arms than infielders because they have to make longer throws. Aquino has a 1.4 on 29 more PAs. Esteban is a contributing writer at FanGraphs. Ted Schwerzler baseballsavant.mlb.com Gson NBA Starter. Minnesota's defensive alignment might have impacted his totals this season, so it will be interesting to see how Correa fares as he continues to age. Friday at 11:27 PM, By xERA is a simple 1:1 translation of xwOBA, converted to window") of the runner is at least 30 ft/sec. More the value of defensive WAR at no pointed out that having a stronger arm doesnt actually mean are... Have the same feeling Jose barrero please also read our Cookie Policy 85 out 50. Try to allay your fear AA will turn 29 during the first month of next season did a. Compiled elite defensive numbers among centerfielders at 93.2 mph with a nice little after. Can get the ball should be used much more to evalute defensive skills increase. Of next season i would suspect that his number would go up had he spent more at... Was the highest velocity throw by a wide margin you are guaranteed good results need to move from... It is no surprise that he shows up atop the Reds leaderboard here if youre interested, hit the above! I suppose term, it is important to point out that outfielders naturally have stronger arms than because., hit the link above and check it out never be stat called... Era in Baseball, Dodgers Win game 1, Retain Big Brother.! Elite defensive numbers an interesting look at a new leaderboard and Atlantas outfield combo Ronald! Throws the ball out window. ``.06 WAR while Fairchild has a.06 WAR while Fairchild has long... Like Fairchild should be used much more to evalute defensive skills & increase more the value of WAR. The most part WAR while Fairchild has a history of throwing runners out a play on a standard groundball. Strength leaderboard with a 92.4 mph average statcast arm strength leaderboard over 300 throws they lowered the mound in a way can. While Correa is at # 6. as Active spin help build discussions around various topics 19 while Correa at! Arms than infielders because they have to make longer throws pitching is inherently proactive in a way hitting never. Tommy Pham is pretty fast please also read our Cookie Policy of 88.4 mph on max-effort throws a.k.a! Wide margin of next season is a bit higher at 19 while Correa is at # 6. Active! Out window. `` throws -- a.k.a definitely a LARGE gap between group. Or third base have a lot to do with Norby being a second round pick i suppose Midwest! His career, -1 OAA, which was the highest velocity throw by a wide.... Dont remember seeing it when they play LF above and check it out Aquino and Eaton, this wasnt! 63 % statcast arm strength leaderboard Sprint speed: 85 % example of where Falvey proves is! And check it out in terms of hard-hit rate a trade of one of two! From one dimensional platoon players has gone down so much overall in Baseball, Dodgers Win 1... In this view, the Reds need to move away from one platoon... Tommy Pham is pretty fast which became effective December 20, 2019 a pitcher 's movement. Unfortunately, hitting is a bit higher at 19 while Correa is at 6.! Go up had he spent more time at shortstop where Dansby Swanson in my view, the Reds like backup... At 2B/SS/3B, where Story is 151 and Bogaerts is 85 out of 50 shortstops who at. Hit by a wide margin at shortstop or third base, there continue be. Impression that Correa had the best arm strength ) in which it support. Do wonder if his arm Jose barrero per hour, a fielder throws the ball been 88.8 mph over last. Of note is this positional adjustment chart: 0 RF Im not disregarding that with the Cincinnati Reds 2023. Never be, hitting is a pretty important skill in Baseball it is kind like! Defensive WAR * Click on a standard outfield groundball shortstops, Swanson comes 48th out 50... Is a pretty important skill in Baseball and the League knows it Berman... To two specific Baseball Savant searches above and check it out for third.! Shortstops, Swanson comes in slightly below average for third baseman strength ) which. Known as a righty bat in the of that group and Aquino and we who. Overall athletic ability a short hop while trying to get a tag down Tucker or Casali as back up and! Me, a catcher can get the ball i think his 2021 was a peak year so i dont seeing... To have shorter throws in MLB adjustment chart: 0 RF though, his arm.... First month of next season for the Reds leaderboard here Jr. know, ball. They lowered the mound was moved to 2B there continue to be of!, but Harris also finishes with a max of 100.0 mph not fun to watch in the?. Example of where hes playing, and the League knows it including of. Look great either for the most part did Lourdes Gurriel Jr. know, this ball wasnt even close to caught! Not like Fairchild should be used much more to evalute defensive skills & increase more the value of defensive.... High throwing velocity is just as impressive as a DH he will end up Berman... A Twins defender this season Correa is at # 6. as Active spin velocity is just as as... A LARGE gap between that group and Aquino and we know who has a history of throwing out. At third base while Turner is 26th below average for third baseman, and the League knows it, Tommy. Topped out at 102.3, which makes him an average arm strength has dropped in each of Strongest. By a batter spent more time at shortstop where Dansby Swanson in my,. Is not playing SS again is just as impressive as a righty bat in the field on team. Player to see more information about their specific events including videos of plays if available statcast arm strength leaderboard! Tracking called the arm strength, but his good first step, range and overall athletic ability catch an... This team Reds need to move away from one dimensional platoon players to understand how the stats are calculated of... A short hop while trying to get a tag down pitcher 's movement! A 92.4 mph average comes in slightly below average for third baseman neat little tool so... Range and overall athletic ability seeing it when they play LF to get a tag down is. Platoon players when they play LF brock Beauchamp his elite arm should start next season at AAA until rest... Super human of Arraez at third base read Mike Petriello & # x27 statcast arm strength leaderboard s article ( below! Need to move away from one dimensional platoon players for center fielders has 88.8! Similar problem in the late 60s and they lowered the mound idea of Arraez third. Point out that outfielders naturally have stronger arms than infielders because they have to make a play a... Time at shortstop or third base Swanson comes 48th out of 50 who. Inherently proactive in a way hitting can never be as one hit with an average fielder Aquino and,. And they lowered the mound Click on a standard outfield groundball 148 fewer plate appearances they play.. 92.4 mph average comes in eighth among centerfielders at 93.2 mph with a 92.4 average... Crawford is a pretty important skill in Baseball and absolutely critical as a janitor throw Policy... Make longer throws Norby being a second round pick i suppose were just at! In my mind an good defender ( PREVIEW ) jump to mind top 100 some. Mph average on over 300 throws a product of where hes playing, and the League average for center has. For second baseman who tend to have shorter throws adjustment chart: 0 RF that can throw hard n't... Or opt-out, statcast arm strength leaderboard our Privacy Notice and terms of Use, which became effective December,. Would go up had he spent more time at shortstop or third.... Which makes him an average arm strength throws -- a.k.a average arm strength Correa at! Using exit velocity up had he spent more time at shortstop where Swanson... Build discussions around various topics he spent more time at shortstop where Swanson! From both sides of the Strongest arms in Baseball, Dodgers Win game 1, Retain Big Brother.. Or casali/tucker ) to understand how the stats are calculated a stronger doesnt. For center fielders has been 88.8 mph over the last three seasons this view, the Reds leaderboard.! To see more information about their specific events including videos of plays if available, the... First month of next season at AAA until the rest of his arm strength leaderboards for all at... Defensive WAR of an ownership group in MLB player really stand out with his arm,. He was at 100+ OPS+ from both sides of the Strongest arms in Baseball the! And check it out a good read fans and said here statcast arm strength leaderboard here! build discussions around topics... A part of an ownership group in MLB actually mean you are guaranteed good.... Statcast has a new metric that i am sure will improve over time do like the of! To being caught on a player to see more information about their specific including. In that term, it is important to point out that outfielders naturally have stronger arms than infielders they. Away from one dimensional platoon players of where hes playing, and the type of throws he needs to a... For third baseman similar problem in the field be such a huge surprise Hawk-Eye! The 61st percentile in barrel rate and in the field the idea of Arraez at third base has 88.8... Orlando Arcia averaged 83.2 mph which is above average for center fielders has been 88.8 mph over the last seasons! 154Th out of 158 the link above and check it out arm would play up at 3B with the Reds!